Potash is brought to the surface from about a kilometre underground either as a solid or dissolved in liquid form
It’s processed in mills to separate out the “K” (potassium)
Further processed into various sizes and types of products.
From here, it’s stored in large warehouses for shipping where it will be later loaded into train cars
There are 7 projects underway in Russia and Belarus.
There are 2 projects being developed in Laos.
Exporters: Uralkali and Eurochem
Exporters: Belaruskali
Exporters: ICL
Exporters: SQM
Exporters: Lao Kaiyuan and Asia-Potash
*Chinese-owned
Based on 2024 Actuals & Estimates
95% is exported out of Canada Major markets: US, China, Brazil and India; 40 countries world-wide
Potash is moved by train and relies on the services of CN and CP Rail
Potash is transported both by the producers themselves and for some, through Canpotex (a joint venture owned by Mosaic and Nutrien)
Canpotex markets and delivers Canadian potash through their fleet of 5,000 customized railcars to port terminal facilities in Portland, Oregon, Saint John and Vancouver
The three main producers own or lease specialized railcars to move product through their own supply chains
Rail cars are emptied into large containers and put on ocean-going vessels for global shipments
Each rail car carries 100 MT of potash (based on weight).
Once filled in Canada, cars move by rail to main hubs like Winnipeg or Chicago for domestic transport.
International cars head to ports on the East or West coast.
For Canpotex, it takes around a week to move potash from Saskatchewan to the coast.
Domestically, it can take over a month to get potash to its final destination by rail-only.
Crown Royalty tax is paid to the Crown for removing the mineral and selling it. Calculated as value of potash produced (average selling price) x 3%
Base – producers estimate how much potash they will make in a year x 35% to a maximum and minimum; there are deductions available to incentivize new mine research and development along with market development to grow the industry – paid monthly
Profit tax – producers estimate how much they will make in a year x 15% or 35% (based on amount sold in a year); there are deductions to encourage companies to build or expand mines, create corporate office positions, and do market/research development – paid quarterly
Resource Surcharge tax – calculated as 3% of all third-party revenue sales of Canadian Potash.
Potash base tax, potash profit tax, resource surcharge tax, provincial and federal income taxes, provincial and federal sales taxes, property taxes and carbon taxes (both direct and indirect).
Supply:
how much is available
Demand:
how much is needed
Growing season and weather
Farmer disposable income
Government subsidies
Currency exchange rates
Tariffs and trade wars